XRP Just Printed a Golden Cross, but Has It Already Failed?
XRP Just Printed a Golden Cross, but Has It Already Failed?
Sam DaoduFri, October 9, 2026 at 8:00 PM UTC
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XRP's golden cross formed in late September but immediately stumbled, dropping 9% to $1.40 and sitting 62% below its all-time high of $3.65.
Of XRP's 16 historical golden crosses, half the sustained ones delivered gains up to 1,000%, while the other half produced losses as deep as 32%.
XRP must hold above its 200-day moving average and reclaim $1.51 or risk this golden cross becoming another failed signal in its history.
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XRP (CRYPTO: XRP) completed a golden cross on its daily chart in the last week of September 2026, but the price has since fallen. After peaking at $1.51 on October 5, XRP is now trading at $1.40 as of October 9, down 9% over the past week and about 62% from its all-time high of $3.65.
Typically, traders view a golden cross as a positive signal. However, this recent cross came with a price drop. So, is this signal losing its strength, or is a slow start common for XRP after such crosses?
What the XRP Golden Cross Measures and Why It Arrived Late
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A moving average represents the average closing price over a specific number of days, daily. The 50-day moving average reflects XRP's recent price trends, while the 200-day moving average captures longer-term trends. A golden cross forms when the 50-day average rises above the 200-day average, while a death cross occurs when it falls back below.
Leading up to the golden cross, XRP's two moving averages had been converging for weeks. By September 18, the gap between them was the narrowest it had been since August 2024. On September 29, the 50-day average crossed above the 200-day average with XRP trading near $1.50.
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However, these averages are based on past prices, so a cross confirms buying that has already occurred. In XRP's case, the September rally lifted the 50-day average, but the golden cross arrived just as that rally lost momentum.
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Traders began selling in early October, even after the CFTC listed XRP as a digital commodity in proposed regulations reported on October 5. By October 9, forced liquidations of leveraged positions in the crypto market totaled around $1 billion, compounding selling pressure.
How XRP Performed After Its Past Golden Crosses
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Examining XRP's past golden crosses provides insight into what could happen next. Here's a summary of previous crosses:
2025: The 50-day moving average crossed above the 200-day from late June to mid-July 2025, and XRP rallied by about 68%, climbing from around $2.19 on June 28 to its peak of $3.67 on July 18.
August 2024: XRP traded near $0.57 at the time of the cross and was roughly unchanged 30 days later, eventually reaching about $1.10 by mid-November 2024.
February 2021: The cross occurred with XRP at around $0.50. The price remained flat for a month before eventually peaking at $1.96 in April 2021.
April 2017: The 50-day moving average crossed above at about $0.04, and XRP peaked near $0.40 in May 2017, a staggering roughly 900% gain.
XRP has shown mixed results after previous golden crosses; some led to rapid gains, while others saw flat performance the following month.
Despite this, the overall records reveal a concerning trend. XRP has experienced 16 golden crosses, each followed by a death cross within 12 months. Of the ten crosses that lasted at least three months, five led to gains ranging from about 85% to over 1,000%, while the other five led to losses of up to 32%.
Is the XRP Golden Cross Already Failing?
As of now, the XRP golden cross has not definitively failed, but it is a weak signal with a limited timeline. A 9% price drop aligns with the flat starts seen after previous crosses in 2024 and 2021, so this decline doesn't necessarily mean the signal has broken down.
However, XRP's historical data suggests this cross offers about an equal chance of a price increase or decline, leaving holders somewhat uncertain.
For the golden cross to hold, XRP needs to stay above the 200-day moving average and ideally bounce back above its October 5 peak of $1.51. If it fails to do so and closes below the 200-day average, it risks turning this golden cross into just another statistic among those that led to losses in XRP's history.
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Source: “AOL Money”
